Key Oscar Updates!!

So this weekend was very big for the Oscar race because of the Guild awards (Producers, Directors, and Screen Actors). Here are the big stories.

Inside Job: Best Documentary?
Inside Job took the win in the Directors Guild Award, and because Waiting for Superman (which was inexplicably snubbed by the Oscars) took home the Producers Guild Award, Inside Job is the only film on the ballot with a Guild award. That does not necessarily make it the favorite (either Restrepo or Exit Through the Gift Shop could upset), but Inside Job has (dare I say it?) the inside track for the Oscar.

Is the Acting Race set?
Not exactly. Though the Acting races for the men have been fairly set (Colin Firth and Christian Bale are essentially locks), the Best Actress and Best Supporting Actress are less set in stone. Natalie Portman is clearly the favorite, but don't count out Annette Bening, who campaigned more than Portman. But Jennifer Lawrence is essentially out of the Race. Best Supporting Actress is looking a lot clearer with Melissa Leo on top. But Helena Bonham Carter, Amy Adams, or even Hailee Steinfeld could take over that spot.

Is David Fincher going to lose?
Probably not. He didn't win the Directors Guild award, but he took a lot of the critics' awards. Still he would probably have to look out for Tom Hooper, whose movie The King's Speech has more nominations in the Oscars and who took home the Directors Guild award.

The Social Network vs. The King's Speech
The Social Network looked like the surefire weekend before the nominations were announced. Then The King's Speech seemed to be closing the gap, but now, after this weekend, it's a lot harder to choose. Unlike recent years, there seems to be a tight race for Best Picture.

Updated Winners
Best Documentary: Inside Job
Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 3
Best Foreign Film: In A Better World
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Social Network
Best Original Screenplay: The King's Speech
Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale, The Fighter
Best Actress: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Best Actor: Colin Firth, The King's Speech 
Best Director: David Fincher, The Social Network
Best Picture: The King's Speech